Moncler Group | Annual Report 2024 Board of Directors’ Report 156 | ’
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With regard to transition risks an analysis was carried out on the
basis of the two scenarios identif ied by the International Energy
Agency (IEA), which outlines the main potential pathways of the
e
nergy system evolution: a scenario that ref lects existing
and planned government policies, without achieving the goal
of containing the temperature increase within 2°C, and
a decarbonised scenario (Sustainable Development Scenario
— SDS), which considers the pursuit of the main energy goals
of sustainable development, including full access to energy and
the containment of the temperature increase well-below
2°C and with advanced economies expected to reach net-zero
emissions by 2050. Also for transition risks, the analysis
was carried out over three dif ferent time horizons in line with
what was done for physical risks.
Since 2022, the Group has started to quantify in terms
of
f inancial implications the risks and opportunities identif ied and,
si
nce 2023, has also taken into account in the analyses
th
e potential ef fects that acute physical climate change events,
such as droughts and f loods, may have on the supply
o
f raw materials due to supply chain disruptions, and on price
volatility. In particular, analyses were carried out according
to RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios on cotton
in 2023 and on down in 2024.
Regarding cotton, literature studies analysed during the
project have shown that, in general, this plant is inherently resistant
to heat and resilient to limited periods of water scarcity.
However, the correlations between global historical data and the
occurrence of extreme weather events show that events
such as intense, prolonged droughts and persistent f loods can
af fect the availability of cotton in some areas and thus lead
to an increase in the price of the raw material. Following the
a
nalysis carried out on the Group’s data, the f inancial impact
i
n terms of the estimated increase in annual operating costs
was not deemed signif icant for the organisation.
The analysis conducted on down found no signif icant
correlations between global historical data and the occurrence
of extreme weather events As a result it was not possible
to make further assessments of the potential f inancial impact
for the Group
In general the results of the scenario analysis which include
assessments of potential f inancial impacts arising from physical
and transition risks and the identif ication of mitigation measures
with the allocation of related f inancial resources see also
pages
322325
provide the basis for the def inition of the Groups
climate strategy
With the aim of continuing to include the metrics and targets
used to measure the f inancial ef fect of climaterelated risks
and opportunities the Group is committed to pursuing its actions
to align with the TCFD recommendations
The details of the theoretical risks and opportunities identif ied
through the TCFD framework are presented in the table
in the “Additional information” section, which also includes the
actions taken by the Group to mitigate and adapt to risks
and
promote opportunities. Further details regarding the elements
of
the analyses are publicly reported in annual CDP Climate
Change questionnaire.
The results of the analyses described above represented
the starting point for the assessments carried out as part of
the double materiality process (see also pages
124–127; 128–129
),
which took into account only the theoretical risks that exceeded
the materiality threshold: the physical risk deriving from the
i
ntensif ication of extreme and chronic climatic phenomena
(e.g. heavy rainfall, heat or cold waves, drought phenomena, etc.),
which could af fect physical sites leading to the possible
i
nterruption or reduction of production levels (business continuity)
and the risk associated with changes in client purchasing
d
ynamics. In addition, through the double materiality analysis,
a theoretical reputational risk was identif ied, linked to the failure
to achieve climate targets def ined in the 2020–2025 Sustainability
Plan (see also page 124).